Skip to content
SOURDOUGH SPORTS

Receipts, not hype

THE RECORD

Paper picks · tracking, not yet a paid product

Every paper pick is locked before kickoff and graded against the final score and the closing line. Losing days stay on the board — we don't hide burnt loaves. Tracking started Oct 25, 2026.

Last updated Oct 25, 10:54 AM MDT · checked Oct 25, 12:34 PM MDT · refreshes about every minute

Record
0-0-0
W-L-P (graded)
Win rate
—
excl. pushes
Avg CLV
—
vs closing line
Units
+0.00u
1u per pick · 5 pending
Paper record by sport
SportWLPPendingUnits
NFL0003+0.00u
NBA0002+0.00u

Locked, awaiting results

NFLSun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET

Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions

Green Bay Packers +3.5
+100 @ LowVig.ag
low confidence1uAnalyst + market

Best market price on the board: Packers +3.5 at even money (+100) while most books hang -108 to -115. No-vig fair price is ~50%, so the plus price is the whole case. Packers 4-2 vs Lions 3-2 entering the week. Injury data was limited at pick time (inactives not out).

Locked Sun, 25 Oct 2026 16:54:32 UTC · consensus 3.5

Sources: The Odds API snapshot 2026-10-25 16:43 UTC (9 books); RotoWire NFL lineups (records)

NBASun, Oct 25, 7:10 PM ET

Toronto Raptors @ Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves +0.5
-107 @ BetRivers
low confidence1uAnalyst + market

Line shopping: consensus is Wolves -1 but one book offers Wolves +0.5 at -107, a 1.5-point edge on a near pick'em; top expected value on today's NBA board (~+1.5%). Injuries are minor (TOR Nate Bittle out, MIN Donte DiVincenzo out).

Locked Sun, 25 Oct 2026 16:54:32 UTC · consensus -1

Sources: The Odds API snapshot 2026-10-25 16:43 UTC (9 books); NBA official injury report 10/25 10:00 AM ET

NBASun, Oct 25, 7:40 PM ET

Detroit Pistons @ Philadelphia 76ers

Under 228.5
-110 @ FanDuel
low confidence1uAnalyst + market

Under 228.5 is a point above the 227.5 consensus. Detroit's C Jalen Duren is out and Ausar Thompson is questionable; Philly is on the second night of a back-to-back with Joel Embiid (36 min Saturday) a game-time decision and LeBron James on back management. Star availability is unknown at pick time, so this is low confidence.

Locked Sun, 25 Oct 2026 16:54:32 UTC · consensus 227.5

Sources: The Odds API snapshot 2026-10-25 16:43 UTC (9 books); NBA official injury report 10/25 10:00 AM ET; Sports Mole / WhyNBA previews

NFLSun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET

Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks

Kansas City Chiefs +3
-109 @ LowVig.ag
low confidence1uAnalyst + market

Taking the key number +3 with an unbeaten (5-0) Chiefs team vs a 3-3 Seahawks side. Seattle has RB Zach Charbonnet and LBs Chazz Surratt and Drake Thomas ruled out, with four more defenders questionable. KC is without WR Rashee Rice and CB L'Jarius Sneed is questionable. Market alone shows no edge (fair ~51% on KC +3), so this is a lean.

Locked Sun, 25 Oct 2026 16:54:32 UTC · consensus 3

Sources: The Odds API snapshot 2026-10-25 16:43 UTC (9 books); chiefs.com Week 8 injury report; RotoWire NFL lineups (records)

NFLMon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET

Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles

Dallas Cowboys -4.5
-105 @ LowVig.ag
low confidence1uAnalyst + market

Eagles are projected to start QB Tanner McKee, Saquon Barkley is listed questionable, and WR DeVonta Smith and DE Nolan Smith Jr. sat last week. Line is a consistent -4.5 across books at a cheap -105. Both teams 2-4. Week 8 injury reports not yet filed, so confidence stays low.

Locked Sun, 25 Oct 2026 16:54:32 UTC · consensus -4.5

Sources: The Odds API snapshot 2026-10-25 16:43 UTC (9 books); RotoWire NFL lineups; FantasyPros Week 7 inactives

Units assume 1 unit risked per pick at the price recorded when the pick was locked. Paper tracking only: no money is wagered or charged.

For entertainment and informational purposes only. Sourdough Sports sells analysis, not wagers — we do not accept bets. Past results do not guarantee future outcomes; no pick is a sure thing. You must be 21+ (or the legal age in your jurisdiction) to bet. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.